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Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 8-16 km miles (5-10 miles) of the shoreline may be required. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 4.6 metres (15 feet) above sea level and within 460 metres (500 yards) of the shoreline. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the centre of the storm. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away.

Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.Īccording to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm of Haiyan's strength (category 5) at landfall includes: Storm surge generally greater than 5.5 metres (18 feet) above normal. Haiyan is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 268 km/h (166 mph). Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 10.8 N, 126.6 E. Typhoon Haiyan is forecast to strike the Philippines as a super typhoon at about 22:00 GMT on 7 November.

* Any views expressed in this article are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters Foundation.

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